Due to the fact that Russia is now a member of the World Trade Organization, long-term forecasting
becomes an objectively necessary condition that helps choose an effective science-based long-term strategy
for development of dairy cattle breeding that would take into consideration intellectual and innovative
characteristics. Current structure of available statistical information does not meet modern challenges
of innovation development and does not reflect adequately the trends of ongoing changes. The paper
suggests a system of indicators to analyze the status, development and prospects of dairy cattle breeding
in the region; this system provides timely identification of emerging risks and threats of deviation from
the specified parameters. The system included indicators contained in the current statistical reporting
and new indicators of innovation development of the industry, the quality of human capital and the level
of government support. When designing the system of indicators, we used several methodological aspects
of the Oslo Manual, which the Federal State Statistics Service considers to be an official methodological
document concerning the collection of information about innovation activities. A structured system of
indicators shifts the emphasis in the analysis of the final results to the conditions and prerequisites that
help achieve forecast performance indicators in the functioning of Russia’s economy under WTO rules
and make substantiated management decisions
Keywords
innovative development, region, forecasting, dairy cattle breeding, system of indicators, information base